| Aussie and Gold Review
October 16, 2009 at 10:13 am
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| | The yearly charts of gold and aussie movements are highly correlated, and as the week unwinds the market looks set to make a test on both asset classes. If there is not enough time this week to follow through, it sets up a perfect play for Monday trade, especially with... |
| USD/JPY Buckles Following Solid Run
October 16, 2009 at 6:13 am
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| | The USD/JPY is experiencing profit taking today after flying with U.S. equities and the Cable yesterday. The USD/JPY ignored the theme of a weaker Dollar, and instead opted to participate in the risk trade. Thursday's combination of positive Q3 earnings and a drop in weekly U.S. Unemployment Claims gave investors... |
| GBP/USD Consolidates after Impressive Breakout
October 16, 2009 at 6:12 am
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| | The Cable pulled a rally out of left field yesterday and exploded for nearly 400 basis points since our previous commentary. The psychological 1.60 level ended up having a marginal impact and has been left in the dust. Once the Cable got above our previous 3rd tier uptrend line, now... |
| EUR/USD Forms Double Top Below 1.50
October 16, 2009 at 6:10 am
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| | The EUR/USD's upswing continued yesterday, yet hit a will just beneath the highly psychological 1.50 level as anticipated. The EUR/USD failed to fully participate in the equity rally and has formed a double top with a pop in volume on a 4 hour down-bar. We notice similar weakness in gold... |
| EURUSD: Turns Lower Ahead Of The 1.5000 Level
October 16, 2009 at 5:37 am
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| | Although EUR recovered from its intra day losses to close higher at 1.4953 on Thursday, that gain was seen being reversed in Friday trading session increasing risk of further corrective pullbacks. Immediate downside targets is sited at the 1.4843/42 level, its Sept 23'09 high/Oct 15'09 low. That level should fence... |
| AUD/USD Still Strong
October 16, 2009 at 3:36 am
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| | Despite gaining well over 50% from it previous low of .6007 the Aussie still looks very attractive to many forex traders. Despite the large climb that the pair has already seen, there is a strong likelihood that the pair will continue to increase. Using Fibonacci retracement levels you can see... |
| GBPUSD: Maintains Corrective Upside Momentum
October 16, 2009 at 1:54 am
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| | The pair continues to build on its recovery activated at the 1.5706 level breaking decisively through the 1.6124 level(Sept 30'09 high) on Thursday to close higher at 1.6338. It was seen hesitating in early trading today and its next target stands at its ST declining trendline initiated at the 1.7041... |
| USDJPY: Building On Recovery Strength
October 16, 2009 at 1:53 am
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| | A higher weekly close is now underway as USDJPY continues to head higher building on its recovery triggered off the 88.00 level. While the pair remains trapped within its declining channel and biased to the downside in the short term, it faces immediate upside risk nearer term as correction continues... |
| Currency Technical Report
October 16, 2009 at 1:07 am
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| | Euro's rise was limited below 1,5000 area, confirming our scenario regarding the strong resistance levels of 1,4950-70. Even though the upward move was not strong enough to confirm the resumption of the move to higher levels, retracements remain weak and buyers still dominate. Crude oil has breached its wider sideways... |
| Technical Analysis Daily: USD/JPY
October 16, 2009 at 12:07 am
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| | On Thursday Dollar/Yen made a significant ascending movement. On the 3 hour chart the downward channel was broken upwards and quotes now move above 90.60. Our preferable scenario for now is bullish with objective towards 91.50, followed by 92.50. Key support is represented by the 90.50 level. Break under it... |
| Forex Technical Analysis
October 15, 2009 at 10:59 pm
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| | EUR/USD is in a broad consolidation, after bottoming at 1.2331 (Oct.28,2008). Technical indicators are neutral, and trading is situated above the 50- and 200-Day SMA, currently projected at 1.4134 and 1.3523. |
| Daily FX Report
October 15, 2009 at 10:44 pm
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| | Since the middle of September, the EUR has been trading in a bullish trend against the CHF. During the last four days, the currency pair has started a downward movement but at its support line according its Pivot point, it recovered and the prices climbed again. Furthermore, a crossing MACD... |
| Technical Analysis Daily: GBP/USD
October 15, 2009 at 10:20 pm
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| | Yesterday Pound/Dollar made a significant upward movement. The cable climbed from 1.5993 with nearly 300 pips, closing the day at 1.6267. This morning ascending continued to the key 1.6400 resistance, which limited the climbing for now, and we see currently deep correctional bounce. If the above resistance is convincingly broken... |
| Will Japanese Yen Continue To Drop?
October 15, 2009 at 9:59 pm
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| | The yen headed for a second weekly loss versus the euro as optimism the global economic recovery is strengthening spurred demand for higher-yielding assets. The yen weakened against 14 of its 16 major counterparts before a report forecast to show U.S. industrial output improved for a third month. The yen... |
| Technical Analysis for Crosses
October 15, 2009 at 9:11 pm
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| | The pair rushed strongly to the upside yesterday reaching the major resistance level for the minor ascending channel which is constructing the short term upside wave for the pair at 136.00. Momentum indicators are overbought which makes us expect a downside correction targeting 134.45 -23.6% correction- before resuming the upside... |
| Forex Technical Analytics
October 15, 2009 at 9:01 pm
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| | The estimated test of key resistance range levels has been confirmed but relative bullish activity rise, marked by OsMA trend indicator did not incline to the implementation of pre-planned short positions. At the moment considering relative bullish activity rise as a sign of rate rise period incompleteness but without confirmative... |
| FX Technical Analysis
October 15, 2009 at 8:55 pm
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| | EURUSD Comment: Even half-baked stockbrokers are becoming aware of the US dollar's weakness, and the Treasury's Geithner links the currency's strength to times of fear and crisis. The Euro is slightly overbought so perhaps its time to take a breather today. A weekly close above 1.4800 would confirm that the... |
| Technical Analysis for Major Currencies
October 15, 2009 at 8:44 pm
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| | The euro versus dollar was able to build a base on yesterday's correction level at 1.4890, where it faced a strong resistance again around 1.4960 to cause the beginning of a bearish intraday correction that we think might pressure the pair for today. From here we expect a bearish intraday... |
| Foreign Exchange Market Commentary
October 15, 2009 at 8:37 pm
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| | EUR/USD closed higher on Thursday as it extends last week's rally. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signalling that sideways to higher prices are possible near- term. If it extends this week's rally, the 87% retracement... |
| Daily Technical Outlook
October 15, 2009 at 8:11 pm
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| | Intra-day sentiment is slightly bearish after the 2nd failed attempt to reach 1.5000. Yesterday's relatively fast recovery from 1.4840, which is also the 61.8% retracement ratio of 1.4760-1.4965, suggests that uptrend is very strong and pullbacks are grabbing bids from below 1.4900, for a potential break out above 1.5000 on... |
| Technical Analysis Daily: EUR/USD
October 15, 2009 at 7:12 pm
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| | On Thursday Euro/Dollar made a deep correctional movement, reaching a bottom at 1.4855, and closing the day at 1.4944. The 1.4966 level is a key resistance zone, the break up of which will determine whether to expect further bullish impulse towards 1.5080, followed by 1.5200. Unconvincing overtake of the level... |
| The Daily Forecaster: EURUSD
October 15, 2009 at 7:03 pm
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| | The fact this didn't reach 1.5006 before the correction was annoying but I have noted an alternate projection that identifies 1.4967 as an intermediate target. However, what is confusing is the pullback at 1.4842 is too deep for the final projection higher to reach the ideal 1.5119-35 target. If we... |
| Forex and Dow Jones Recommended Levels
October 15, 2009 at 5:39 pm
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| | EUR/USD Today's support: - 1.4888 and 1.4850(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.4833, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.4820. Break of the latter would result in 1.4802. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.4779. Continuation will give 1.4753. |
| Market Morning Briefing
October 15, 2009 at 5:35 pm
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| | The Euro (1.4943) and Aussie (0.9247) are continuing to remain strong and are keeping up their uptrend intact. Dollar-Yen has risen sharply and if the current strength on its upmove continues, a break above 91 might see 92 on the upside today. |
| FX Technical Commentary
October 15, 2009 at 5:12 pm
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| | Euro 1.4950 Initial support at 1.4839 (Oct 14 low) followed by 1.4674 (Oct 9 low). Initial resistance is now located at 1.4980 (Aug 13 2008 high) followed by 1.500 (Psych Level) |
| Daily Technical Analysis
October 15, 2009 at 3:52 pm
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| | The EURUSD had a volatile but indecisive market yesterday, formed a Doji on daily chart. On h4 chart below we can see that the pair is trapped between my two important levels, 1.4850 – 1.4950 area. However, for me it's clear that the bullish remains in control as price quickly... | | | 
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| Aud/Usd 0.9200 Resistance Area
October 15, 2009 at 8:33 am
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| | On the Aussie four hour chart, prices have traded higher, into the Fibonacci resistance area of a blue wave iv, where wave v is searching for the top. The blue wave v of a larger black wave V) should technically be completed soon, and a technical short turning point may... |
| The Yen Breaking Out
October 15, 2009 at 7:22 am
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| | Yen prices have found support around the 88.80 area, which could be the low of wave B, as mentioned yesterday. Wave C may already be developing with a following break through the upper resistance line and 90.43 wave A top, which will put a new up-side target in play. The... |
| GBP/JPY Breaks above 100 EMA
October 15, 2009 at 3:52 am
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| | After nearly 3 months of bearish trading, the GBP/JPY has made a strong positive breakout above the 100 EMA. After breaking above this critical level the pair has gained over 300 pips and could potentially signal the start of a new trend. The 100 ema is often a critical... |
| GBPUSD: Recovery Clears The 1.6124 Level
October 15, 2009 at 3:08 am
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| | Momentum build up on the back of its two days of recovery saw GBP breaking through its key resistance standing at the 1.6124 level today (Sept 30'09 high). Maintaining those gains on a daily closing basis today should bring further strength towards its declining channel initiated from the 1.7041 level... |
| EURGBP: Collapses Through The 0.9299 Level
October 15, 2009 at 3:07 am
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| | The cross continues to decline on its shooting star formation cutting through the 0.9299 level, its Sept 27'09 high and challenging the 0.9158 level, its Oct 08'09 low today. Further corrective declines look to be seen towards the 0.9076 level, its Sept 30'09 low with a violation of there targeting... |
| FX Thoughts for the Day
October 15, 2009 at 1:57 am
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| | The Cable has risen sharply during the day breaking above the significant Resistance at the 8-week MA (1.6170) mentioned earlier thereby increasing the chances of a trend reversal now. If the current strength on its upmove continues, we might see further rise towards 1.6350-75 which is the next significant Resistance... |
| Technical Analysis Daily: USD/JPY
October 15, 2009 at 12:05 am
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| | On Wednesday Dollar/Yen traded hesitantly, forming divergence on the 3 hour chart. The currency couple still shows ability to remain above 89.50. This may indicate that the bullish correctional mode is still not finished. On the 1 hour chart there is a formed upward triangle, and if quotes reach the... |
| Currency Technical Report
October 14, 2009 at 11:27 pm
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| | Euro formed new tops, as it moved towards our targets at 1,4950-60 area. Dollar's sentiment remains negative. Commodities and equities moved to new highs and dollar is widely used for carry trade strategies. |
| Daily FX Report
October 14, 2009 at 11:11 pm
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| | Since the beginning of October, the USD has been trading in a bearish trend channel against the CAD. During that time, the currency pair couldn`t leave the trend channel. Recently, the USD crossed its support. When it crossed its Pivot point in the trend channel, the supports aren't strong enough... |
| Euro Continues To Gain Due To Little Thrust On U.S. Dollar
October 14, 2009 at 10:40 pm
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| | Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said the dollar is likely to extend drops against the euro and commodity- backed currencies over the coming six months, based on the greenback's correlation with cyclical assets and capital flows. The dollar will weaken to $1.55 versus the euro in three and six months, the... |
| Forex Technical Analysis
October 14, 2009 at 10:22 pm
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| | EUR/USD is in a broad consolidation, after bottoming at 1.2331 (Oct.28,2008). Technical indicators are neutral, and trading is situated above the 50- and 200-Day SMA, currently projected at 1.4134 and 1.3523. |
| Technical Analysis Daily: GBP/USD
October 14, 2009 at 10:08 pm
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| | Pound/Dollar could not continue the downward scenario yesterday and followed the Euro upwards. On the 3 hour chart after failing to hold under 1.5753, quotes rose sharply, taking over the key 1.6000 resistance, which is serious threat to descending outlook. Although it is too early to confirm the bullish scenario,... |
| Forex Technical Update
October 14, 2009 at 9:58 pm
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| | Euro gained in yesterday's trading session as strong economic data pointed towards a healthy recovery. ECB President said that the Eurozone is recovering at a gradual pace and the European Central Bank (ECB) kept borrowing costs at a record low. The Euro thus gained in yesterday's trading session to close... |
| Forex Technical Analytics
October 14, 2009 at 9:07 pm
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| | The pre-planned break-out variant for sales was implemented with the achievement of minimal estimated target. OsMA trend indicator having marked activity fall of both parties formally does not clarify the choice of planning priorities for today. But, considering the principle of probable preservation of the current tendency we can assume... |
| Daily Technical Outlook
October 14, 2009 at 8:50 pm
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| | The rise continued and the euro currently trades into a fresh multi-month high territory - near the psychological barrier 1.5, also right on the upper band of the upward trend channel seen below. Short term sentiment is highly positive since breaking out past the 1.4750-1.4800 zone. The euro will probably... |
| FX Technical Analysis
October 14, 2009 at 8:40 pm
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| | EURUSD Comment: Pushing relentlessly higher as the reluctant are dragged in kicking and screaming. It is of course just one of many currencies hitting a new high for the year against the US dollar. Yesterday's close above 1.4900 adds weight to our view that we have started the next leg... |
| Technical Analysis for Major Currencies
October 14, 2009 at 8:22 pm
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| | The pair continues is consecutive intraday bullish movements that support the short term bullish wave, which mainly targets 1.5040. Momentum indicators are moving around overbought areas, where we expect it to continue ascending until the mentioned target before momentum indicators pressure the pair with negativity attempt a bearish correction that... |
| Technical Analysis for Crosses
October 14, 2009 at 8:18 pm
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| | The pair is facing the bearish trend line of the daily time scale, while at the same time the GBP/JPY is forming a bearish harmonic AB=CD pattern on the four-hour chart with a completion areas around 144.15 -127% Fibonacci of AB leg. Hence, we see that the downtrend line will... |
| Forex and Dow Jones Recommended Levels
October 14, 2009 at 7:52 pm
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| | EUR/USD Today's support: - 1.4888(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.4860, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.4833. Break of the latter would result in 1.4802. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.4779. Continuation will give 1.4753. |
| Foreign Exchange Market Commentary
October 14, 2009 at 7:44 pm
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| | EUR/USD closed higher on Wednesday due to a weak dollar. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signalling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If it extends the decline off August's high, the 50% retracement... |
| Technical Analysis Daily: EUR/USD
October 14, 2009 at 7:40 pm
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| | On Wednesday Euro/Dollar made an increasing movement, reaching a peak at 1.4945 on the DJIA going above 10,000, and closed the day at 1.4926. Although short term signals are expected upwards, medium term expectations are for neutral trading as the currency pair still moves under the key 1.5000 resistance. After... |
| The Daily Forecaster: AUDJPY
October 14, 2009 at 6:23 pm
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| | The uptrend continues relentlessly and we now face the 82.59-63 resistance and possibly 83.01-25 for the next barriers. Momentum remains strong and until we get bearish divergences at key resistance levels we should retain a bullish stance. Take care at 82.59-62 -only above extends to the 83.01-25 area and quite... |
| Market Morning Briefing
October 14, 2009 at 5:46 pm
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| | Everybody seems to be getting onto the Sell-Dollar trade now, which has some more room to go. Star performer Aussie (0.9214) has room to move up to 0.95. The Euro (1.4955) is breaking earlier resistance at 1.4925 and is within kissing distance of the big figure of 1.50. Dollar-Swiss (1.0130)... |
| FX Technical Commentary
October 14, 2009 at 4:51 pm
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| | Euro 1.4945 Initial support at 1.4646 (Oct 6 low) followed by 1.4481 (Oct 2 low). Initial resistance is now located at 1.4980 (Aug 13 2008 high) followed by 1.500 (Psych Level) | | | 
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