| Usd/Jpy Correction October 23, 2009 at 8:20 am |
| On the recent four hour yen chart below, traders can see that market has reached the 91.50-91.70 target zone for the second time this week, after the bounce from our Fibonacci support region, discussed on Tuesday. The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of a blue wave A) distance (daily chart) has been... |
| USD/JPY Knocks on the Door of our 2nd Tier Downtrend line October 23, 2009 at 6:24 am |
| The USD/JPY is contemplating surpassing our 3rd tier downtrend line as U.S. equities selloff and we witness broad-based strength in the Dollar. Britain's surprisingly negative Prelim GDP figure sent shockwaves throughout the FX community, and the Dollar is benefitting as a result. A combination of positive U.S. Q3 earnings and... |
| GBP/USD Plummets Following Surprise Prelim GDP Data October 23, 2009 at 5:50 am |
| Most of the Cable's positive technicals were shattered after Britain's Prelim GDP number shocked investors by printing negative at -0.4% vs 0.2%E. Investors sent the GBP/USD tumbling on strong volume since all of the positive fundamentals from the past two weeks have now been brought into question. Furthermore, investors are... |
| EUR/USD Retreats with U.S. equities and Broad Dollar Strength October 23, 2009 at 5:49 am |
| Investors are favoring the Dollar today after Q3 earnings continued to roll in positively, most notably MSFT and AMZN. Furthermore, U.S. Existing Home Sales blew past estimates while Britain's Prelim GDP printed a shocking -0.4%. Therefore, investors are suddenly favoring the U.S. economy, and are heading towards the Dollar in... |
| EURUSD: Pressure To The Upside But With Caution October 23, 2009 at 5:16 am |
| With an earlier weakness below the 1.5000 level being reversed higher and now trading above that level, threats remain for the continuation of its medium term uptrend towards the 1.5082 level, its Aug 10'08 high and then the 1.5283 level, its May 04'08 low. This upside view will be boosted... |
| Chart Of The Day: USD/JPY October 23, 2009 at 5:11 am |
| Bullish price action for the last two weeks on USD/JPY, a daily chart of which is shown, has formed a steep short-term uptrend within the context of a longer-term downtrend channel. Price has also just reached strong resistance in the 92.00 support/resistance region, and additionally, is approaching the approximate upper... |
| FX Thoughts for the Day October 23, 2009 at 2:27 am |
| Cable crashed post dismal GDP data release. The free fall from 1.6793 can possibly be contained near 1.6318-6290. This week, it has risen on the Support of the 8-week MA at 1.6221, that might be tested on a break of the above Support. Rather stay from the pair for a... |
| Currency Technical Report October 23, 2009 at 1:45 am |
| Our lower targets were achieved during yesterday's highs, but retracements remained weak, indicating that buyers still dominate. Important resistance emerges at 1,5100 area, which is the most possible target. As you can see in the daily chart two different channels are met at these levels and these levels should not... |
| EURJPY: On The Verge Of Breaking Triangle Pattern October 23, 2009 at 1:23 am |
| With our previous and recent calls for a trade towards and an eventual break of its symmetrical triangle top at 138.02, that level is currently under attack as the time of this analysis. On a decisive break of there, risk will turn to the 138.71 level where its Aug 07'09... |
| GBPUSD- Collapsing Off The 1.6692 Level October 23, 2009 at 1:21 am |
| Following the pair's marginal lower close on Thursday after reversing most of its intra day its intra day losses, it was seen selling off sharply in early trading today. The question now is what is the risk? The immediate risk of this sell off is the 1.6466 level, its Sept... |
| Technical Analysis Daily: USD/JPY October 23, 2009 at 12:17 am |
| Dollar/Yen continued climbing on Thursday, as expected. The currency couple made a bottom at 90.79, from where it started rising up to the 91.68, closing the day at 91.33. Today ascending continued to new peak at 91.92, which is also the nearest resistance for today. Break above that level may... |
| Daily FX Report October 22, 2009 at 11:14 pm |
| Since the middle of October, the GBP has been trading in a bullish trend channel against the USD. With its second attempt, the currency pair could cross its resistance at 1.6601 and it seems that the breakthrough was successful. Furthermore a crossing Momentum through the signal line from below may... |
| Forex Technical Analysis October 22, 2009 at 11:00 pm |
| EUR/USD is in a broad consolidation, after bottoming at 1.2331 (Oct.28,2008). Technical indicators are neutral, and trading is situated above the 50- and 200-Day SMA, currently projected at 1.4134 and 1.3523. |
| Technical Analysis Daily: GBP/USD October 22, 2009 at 10:13 pm |
| On Thursday Pound/Dollar made a significant downward correction down to the 1.6493 bottom, from where the Cable started recovering, closing the day at 1.6619. The British currency seemed to be in a consolidation phase, which seems to be over now, as quotes continued climbing today. If today's top and nearest... |
| Euro Keep Dominant Against Ineffective Yen October 22, 2009 at 10:04 pm |
| The yen tumbled to a two-month low against the euro as demand for higher-yielding assets rebounded on an earnings-sparked advance in stocks and mounting evidence the global economy is recovering. Japan's currency headed for a weekly decline versus 14 of its 16 most-traded counterparts as Asian shares extended a rally... |
| Forex Technical Update October 22, 2009 at 9:41 pm |
| EURO continued it's bullish momentum yesterday and maintained holding above 1.50 levels.The bullish power succeed to pass the test and move above critical area 1.4850 - 1.4950. We think we would be entering into fresh bullish momentum incase 1.50 holds on a closing basis this week. (EurUsd-1.5014) Slight Bullish |
| Forex Technical Update October 22, 2009 at 9:40 pm |
| EURO continued it's bullish momentum yesterday and maintained holding above 1.50 levels.The bullish power succeed to pass the test and move above critical area 1.4850 - 1.4950. We think we would be entering into fresh bullish momentum incase 1.50 holds on a closing basis this week. (EurUsd-1.5014) Slight Bullish |
| Forex Technical Analytics October 22, 2009 at 9:06 pm |
| The pre-planned short positions from key resistance range levels were implemented with the achievement of minimal estimated target. OsMA trend indicator having marked close activity parity of both parties gives grounds to suppose further rate range movement without clarifying the choice of planning priorities for today. Therefore, considering current bullish... |
| FX Technical Analysis October 22, 2009 at 9:04 pm |
| EURUSD Comment: Another new high for this year at 1.5061 with the 9-day moving average rising quickly. The Euro is slightly overbought and bullish momentum is fairly strong and might increase on a weekly close above the psychological 1.5000 level. |
| Technical Analysis for Major Currencies October 22, 2009 at 8:51 pm |
| Trading for the Euro versus Dollar pair maintained above 1.5000 near 1.5040, which represents a neckline for a bullish technical pattern, seen in the secondary image. This pattern supports our expectations for further inclines on the intraday basis to take the pair to 1.5140 - key resistance for the bullish... |
| Technical Analysis for Crosses October 22, 2009 at 8:47 pm |
| Having a look at the internal structure of the fifth wave of our recently captured Elliott count, we will find out that the GBP/JPY pair is forming the 5th wave of the bigger fifth as seen on our provided four-hour chart. The negative divergence is still in progress on OsMA.... |
| Daily Technical Outlook October 22, 2009 at 8:42 pm |
| The euro remains bid and upside pressure is quite high as the pair has reached a fresh high at 1.5060. Yesterday's recovery in equity markets has favored the euro's rally from the mid 1.49 region where it faced solid buying interest. Hourly price action suggests some weakness on a corrective... |
| Foreign Exchange Market Commentary October 22, 2009 at 7:37 pm |
| EUR/USD closed higher on Thursday despite light profit taking. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signalling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If it extends this week's rally, the 87% retracement level of he... |
| Technical Analysis Daily: EUR/USD October 22, 2009 at 7:33 pm |
| On Thursday Euro/Dollar made insignificant ascending movement with just over 100 pips. The currency couple tried to drop, reaching a bottom at 1.4948, from where it started ascending up to the 1.5058 top, closing the day at 1.5027. On the 3 hour chart unconvincing break up of 1.5000 led to... |
| The Daily Forecaster: AUDUSD October 22, 2009 at 6:21 pm |
| In the end we did see a retest of the 0.9180 low but from there the rally has developed well and I feel that we should still see extension to the 0.9326-31 area first. I suspect the 0.9253 corrective low should support - at most 0.9226 - to provide the... |
| Forex and Dow Jones Recommended Levels October 22, 2009 at 5:45 pm |
| EUR/USD Today's support: - 1.4974 and 1.4940(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.4916, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.4892. Break of the latter would result in 1.4878. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.4855. Continuation will give 1.4816. |
| Market Morning Briefing October 22, 2009 at 5:31 pm |
| The Euro (1.5030) saw a high near 1.5060 today while the Aussie (0.9276) has been consolidating below 0.93 since yesterday. The Cable (1.6658) continues to surge and has further room on the upside. Dollar-Swiss (1.0058) has fallen again to a new 2009 low of 1.0032. A test of Parity is... |
| Daily Technical Analysis October 22, 2009 at 4:49 pm |
| The EURUSD attempted to push lower yesterday but found support at 1.4943, whipsawed to the upside, topped at 1.5037 and closed at 1.5025, indicating bullish momentum remains strong and downside corrections might be over at this phase. I dont' trade corrections, but I love them |
| FX Technical Commentary October 22, 2009 at 4:09 pm |
| Euro 1.5035 Initial support at 1.4829 (Oct 19 low) followed by 1.4762 (Oct 13 low). Initial resistance is now located at 1.5046 (Oct 21 high) followed by 1.5083 (August 11 2008 high) | |
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| (BOC) Monetary Policy Report - October 2009 Summary October 22, 2009 at 4:46 am |
| Recent indicators point to the start of a global economic recovery, although significant fragilities remain. A recovery in economic activity is also under way in Canada, although the current strength in the Canadian dollar is expected, over time, to more than fully offset the favourable developments since July. The Canadian... | | | |
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| Aud/Usd Ending Diagonal October 22, 2009 at 9:56 am |
| On the Aussie four hour chart the market showed an ending diagonal pattern, after the recent top in wave v) at 0.9326. The ending diagonal may now be complete, but is still not confirmed, which will happen once the 0.9112 support is taken out. On the RSI indicator traders may... |
| EURJPY: Targeting Its Triangle Pattern Top October 22, 2009 at 8:19 am |
| As indicated in our special focus analysis last week of the pair's bias to head higher and target its symmetrical triangle resistance, its break higher through its minor resistance at 136.06 level on Wednesday has buttressed that view. With a follow through higher today occurring as at the time of... |
| USD/JPY Charges Higher Following Disappointing Trade Balance October 22, 2009 at 5:01 am |
| The USD/JPY is popping after Japan's Trade Balance came in much lower than analyst expectations coupled with a downward revision of the previous release. Analysts are eager to point out that Japan's exports declined at a slower rate. However, the Trade Balance still took a hit, telling us the improvement... |
| EUR/USD Battles with 1.50 October 22, 2009 at 4:29 am |
| The EUR/USD is back wrestling with the highly psychological 1.50 level after breaking through the barrier yesterday. We view yesterday's movement as an important technical development since we previously explained how 1.50 represents our final topside barrier before 1.55. Hence, we could be on the brink of another near-term breakout... |
| GBP/USD Dips Following Topside Breakthrough October 22, 2009 at 4:28 am |
| The Cable is dipping after breaking through our previous 3rd and 4th tier downtrend lines and the psychological 1.65 level. We mentioned before how a failure of both our 3rd and 4th tiers signals a probable retest of September highs and possibly the highly psychological 1.70 level. The Pound continues... |
| GBPUSD- Holds Above The 1.6421/66 Levels October 22, 2009 at 4:25 am |
| Although GBP's successful break and hold above the 1.6421/66 levels is now being met with weakness in early trading today, as long as those levels are not violated the pair remains biased to the upside nearer term. That leaves its Oct 21'09 high at 1.6635 as its immediate resistance with... |
| EURUSD: Still Pressured To The Upside October 22, 2009 at 4:24 am |
| Although EUR broke and closed above the 1.5000 level on Wednesday after testing its highest price since Aug'08, price action today saw the pair taking back part of those gains. With the significance of that level, a close above there on a weekly closing basis will be required to target... |
| FX Thoughts for the Day October 22, 2009 at 2:22 am |
| Aussie has bounced back after falling towards 0.9184 and has taken Support at the Projected Max Low for the day. It has in the process broken below the Support of 21-MA on the 8H that we have been mentioning. It has also broken below the 8-DMA at 0.9209. Further correction... |
| Currency Technical Report October 22, 2009 at 12:57 am |
| Yesterday's rise above 1.5000 was expected and our basic targets are being reached... The basic target from the break of the June-August sideways formation is 1.5100 area ( clear in the daily chart). |
| Technical Analysis Daily: USD/JPY October 22, 2009 at 12:02 am |
| On Wednesday Dollar/Yen traded with volatility upwards. On the 3 hour chart the downward channel was broken upwards, indicating failure of the bears and strengthening of the Dollar, which found good support at 88.15, the the lower limit of the bearish channel. Expectations are for further ascending adjustment in the... |
| Daily FX Report October 21, 2009 at 11:39 pm |
| Since the beginning of October, the AUD has been trading in a bullish trend against the NZD. Now, the currency pair reaches the lower Bollinger Band. Four times before in October when it touched the lower line, the prices recovered and rose over the middle to the upper Bollinger Band.... |
| US Dollar On The Move As GBP Expected To Stand October 21, 2009 at 11:16 pm |
| The British Pound remained bid overnight and surged higher following the Bank of England Minutes, and the GBP/USD may continue to retrace the sell-off from the previous month as it finds near-term support. Nevertheless, market participants anticipate the U.K. economy to emerge from the recession in the third quarter, with... |
| Forex Technical Analysis October 21, 2009 at 10:50 pm |
| EUR/USD is in a broad consolidation, after bottoming at 1.2331 (Oct.28,2008). Technical indicators are neutral, and trading is situated above the 50- and 200-Day SMA, currently projected at 1.4134 and 1.3523. |
| Technical Analysis Daily: GBP/USD October 21, 2009 at 10:04 pm |
| On Wednesday Pound/Dollar climbed with nearly 300 pips, from the 1.6349 bottom to the 1.6636 top, where rising was limited at the upper limit of the bearish channel, failing to break up the bearish channel, closing the day at 1.6606. The upper line of the downward channel is good place... |
| Forex Technical Analytics October 21, 2009 at 9:11 pm |
| Short positions opened and saved before had positive result of the overlap of main estimated targets. OsMA trend indicator having marked close activity parity of both parties considering the chosen strategy does not clarify the choice of planning priorities for today. Nevertheless, considering the principle of more probable preservation of... |
| Forex Technical Update October 21, 2009 at 9:09 pm |
| EURO continued it's bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 1.5045 and closed at 1.5007. The bullish power succeed to pass the test and move above critical area 1.4850 - 1.4950. We think we would be entering into fresh bullish momentum incase 1.50 holds on a closing basis this week. On February... |
| FX Technical Analysis October 21, 2009 at 8:38 pm |
| EURUSD Comment: Posting a new high for this year at 1.5047 with the 9-day moving average once again giving it another little leg up. Interestingly the Euro is not overbought and bullish momentum is fairly strong. Futures volume is about triple what it was at the beginning of this century,... |
| Technical Analysis for Major Currencies October 21, 2009 at 8:30 pm |
| The Euro versus Dollar pair inclined to reach the target around 1.5020 before reversing to the downside affected by the bearish signs on the stochastic indicator. We believe this decline is only a correction that shouldn't pass 1.4940 as it should rebound on the intraday basis to target 1.5120 –... |
| Technical Analysis for Crosses October 21, 2009 at 8:24 pm |
| Since placing the recorded low of the short term around 139.70, the GBP/JPY pair succeeded to form a typical impulsive upside wave as seen in the above four-hour chart. Now, the heavy negative divergence appearing on OsMA and RSI 14 indicators along with the hanging man candlestick pattern offer potential... |
| Daily Technical Outlook October 21, 2009 at 8:14 pm |
| Yesterday's rally to 1.5045 opens the 1.5 territory and current pullback seem corrective, most likely caused by the session's end losses in the equity markets. If the current pullback continues, intra-day support will be faced into the 1.4940/50 region which is backed by 1.4890/00 and 1.4820. While the euro maintains... |
| Currency Pair Daily Forecasts October 21, 2009 at 7:58 pm |
| EUR/USD-market strategy can be a sell from the level 1.5084$ To strengthen our analysis; we use many other indicators, starting with MACD (Moving Averages convergence divergence); we notice the MACD lines after a bearish crossover above the zero line. In order to find the power of the market, we use... |
| Technical Analysis Daily: EUR/USD October 21, 2009 at 7:41 pm |
| Euro/Dollar made significant ascending movement on Wednesday, breaking up the psychological 1.5000 level. Technically, this fact opens a way for stronger upward impulse toward next objective 1.5170 in the short term, but some adjustments in meanwhile should not come unexpected. Good support downwards is represented by yesterday's bottom at 4890... |
| Forex and Dow Jones Recommended Levels October 21, 2009 at 7:38 pm |
| EUR/USD Today's support: - 1.4940(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.4916, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.4892. Break of the latter would result in 1.4878. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.4855. Continuation will give 1.4816. |
| The Daily Forecaster: EURJPY October 21, 2009 at 6:40 pm |
| The triangle finally broke higher to reach the minimum target at 136.83 but I feel there is one more leg higher left in this… The immediate problem is whether the 136.20 formed the corrective low or whether we can see 135.91-07 first. The break level is around 136.25-30 so if... |
| Market Morning Briefing October 21, 2009 at 5:33 pm |
| The Euro (1.50) and Aussie (0.9250) continue to strengthen. The Euro saw a high near 1.5045 yesterday, breasting the 1.50 tape. Dollar-Swiss (1.0075) came close to printing 1.0000 on the screens when it touched a low of 1.0035 yesterday. The market seems to be lusting for the "Parity" level on... |
| Foreign Exchange Market Commentary October 21, 2009 at 5:20 pm |
| EUR/USD closed slighgtly higher on Wednesday despite retreating from the strongest level in 14 months, as some investors bet European policy makers will say they are concerned its strength may harm the region's economic recovery. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics... |
| FX Technical Commentary October 21, 2009 at 5:10 pm |
| Euro 1.5015 Initial support at 1.4829 (Oct 19 low) followed by 1.4762 (Oct 13 low). Initial resistance is now located at 1.5046 (Oct 21 high) followed by 1.5083 (August 11 2008 high) | |
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