| Daily Technical Analysis
October 21, 2009 at 4:35 pm
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| | The EURUSD continued it's bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 1.5045 and closed at 1.5007. The bullish power succeed to pass the test and move above critical area 1.4850 - 1.4950. I think we are now entering a new phase of a bullish scenario with 1.6000 area as potential long term... |
| Usd/Cad Support at 1.0300
October 21, 2009 at 6:55 am
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| | Cad has made a small turning point recently at the 1.0300 support zone, as expected. The bear market may already be completed, but traders with a long bias still need to be very patient so long as the market trades below the upper resistance line of a daily channel. Until... |
| EUR/USD Continues Trading in Ascending Channel
October 21, 2009 at 6:37 am
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| | After a short period of consolidation, the EUR/USD looks to continue trending higher and continues to trade within a tight upward channel. The pair has reacted rather nicely to both trendlines in the channel and offers several trade opportunities to forex traders. On the long side entering in to a... |
| Chart Of The Day: GBP/USD
October 21, 2009 at 5:01 am
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| | Price action on GBP/USD, a daily chart of which is shown, has just made a clean breakout above a long-term downtrend resistance line extending from the July 2008 high. This breakout is a significant first step in possibly breaking out of the prolonged consolidation that has characterized this currency pair... |
| EURGBP : Loss Of The 0.9076 Level Highlights The 0.8983 Level
October 21, 2009 at 3:38 am
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| | With a decisive break of the cross's strong support residing at its Sept 30'09 low at 0.9076, risk of further declines towards the 0.8983 level, its Sept 23'09 low is now seen. This view is consistent with EURGBP's weakness triggered off the 0.9410 level and if a break of the... |
| GBPUSD: Violates The 1.6421/66 Levels, Eyes Further Upside
October 21, 2009 at 3:37 am
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| | After an attack on the 1.6421 level, its channel resistance failed on Tuesday putting GBP on a negative close, it was seen breaking 1.6421/66 levels in early trading today. While holding on to those gains, GBP has potential to target further higher prices towards the 1.6740 level, its Sept 11'09... |
| FX Thoughts for the Day
October 21, 2009 at 2:23 am
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| | Cable rose during the day as the Resistance at 1.6450 sighted earlier broke. This makes the pair bullish for a further rise over the next few days towards 1.6825. There's slight Resistance at 1.6638 which may be tested during the day. Possibly, there ought not be any looking back and... |
| Technical Analysis Daily: USD/JPY
October 21, 2009 at 12:11 am
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| | Dollar/Yen traded consolidated down to 90.08 on Tuesday, from where sharply rose with around 100 pips, closing the day at 90.69. On the 3 hour chart, after breaking up the bearish channel, the currency pair is now moving in the newly formed secondary bullish channel, with quotes currency heading towards... |
| Forex Technical Analysis
October 20, 2009 at 11:04 pm
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| | EUR/USD is in a broad consolidation, after bottoming at 1.2331 (Oct.28,2008). Technical indicators are neutral, and trading is situated above the 50- and 200-Day SMA, currently projected at 1.4134 and 1.3523. |
| Daily FX Report
October 20, 2009 at 10:46 pm
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| | Since the beginning of October, the CAD has been trading in a bullish trend against the JPY. Recently, the currency pair traded in an upward movement and touched its Pivot point. For the moment, the support was strong enough and it seems that the CAD is ready for a pull... |
| Technical Analysis Daily: GBP/USD
October 20, 2009 at 10:02 pm
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| | Pound/Dollar continued its bullish movement on Tuesday, reaching a peak at 1.6480, closing the day at 1.6378. On the 3 hour chart quotes broke up the upper limit of the bearish channel at 1.6500, which is the last resistance of the downward scenario. Our preferable short term scenario is bullish... |
| Forex Technical Analytics
October 20, 2009 at 9:24 pm
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| | The estimated test of key resistance range levels has been confirmed on conditions for the implementation of pre-planned short positions. OsMA trend indicator having marked in the general outlook the preservation of bearish development priority gives also grounds for the preservation of opened sales with the targets of 1,0080/1,0100 and... |
| Forex Technical Update
October 20, 2009 at 9:06 pm
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| | EURO attempted to push higher, topped at 1.4993 but whipsawed to the downside, bottomed at 1.4881 and closed at 1.4936. It could be false break incase 1.4850 area breaks today. Any movement below 1.4780 (21 days EMA ) could trigger further significant bearish correction towards 1.4561 levels. Short positions could... |
| FX Technical Analysis
October 20, 2009 at 9:01 pm
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| | EURUSD Comment: Hovering under this year's high at 1.4994 and we shall watch closely to see whether the 9-day moving average will once again limit the downside. Small signs of instability, here and in several other currencies, so today may not be the day latecomers arrive at the party. Note... |
| Technical Analysis for Major Currencies
October 20, 2009 at 8:38 pm
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| | The resistance level at 1.4990 halted further inclines yesterday for the Euro versus Dollar pair, which resulted in a downside correction to reach the 61.8% correction. This correction hit the key support for the bullish channel that the pair has been trading within, where we see positive signs on the... |
| Technical Analysis for Crosses
October 20, 2009 at 8:34 pm
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| | The negative divergence that's appearing on RSI 14 probably will assist the pair to activate the bearish harmonic AB=CD scenario as we discussed several times before. We can't neglect that if the GBP/JPY pair couldn't maintain levels above the key resistance of 149.35 then a double top formation may be... |
| Daily Technical Outlook
October 20, 2009 at 7:40 pm
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| | The euro holds gains above the 1.4900 mark despite the downside pressure emerging since yesterday. The upward channel formed on the 4-hrs charts (as seen below) is intact and has provided yet another level to initiate long positions with objectives into the 1.5 region. Intra-day sentiment is slightly bearish but... |
| Currency Pair Daily Forecasts
October 20, 2009 at 7:34 pm
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| | EUR/USD-market strategy can be a buy from the level 1.4908$ To strengthen our analysis; we use many other indicators, starting with MACD (Moving Averages convergence divergence); we notice the MACD lines in a bullish direction and crossing below the zero line. In order to find the power of the market,... |
| Technical Analysis Daily: EUR/USD
October 20, 2009 at 7:15 pm
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| | On Monday Euro/Dollar corrected down to the 1.4887 level, where the correctional movement was limited, closing the day at 1.4941. Expectation are bullish in the medium term, but we need to see convincing break above yesterday's top and first resistance 1.4995 to confirm that. Market is volatile and seems to... |
| The Daily Forecaster: GBPUSD
October 20, 2009 at 7:08 pm
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| | While we saw gains yesterday these stalled at the high end of the 1.6460-89 resistance and caused a pullback. It leaves things a little uncertain. Overall I still prefer to see one more rally but feel we do need to exercise caution. A break above 1.6391-04 will assist and extend... |
| Foreign Exchange Market Commentary
October 20, 2009 at 6:09 pm
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| | EUR/USD closed lower on Tuesday as the dollar advanced from a 14-month low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signalling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If it extends this week's... |
| Market Morning Briefing
October 20, 2009 at 6:02 pm
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| | The Euro (1.4916) has come off after testing the Resistance at 1.50 and has fallen to 1.4882. Dollar-Yen (90.68) rose to 91.07 after falling below 90.10 yesterday. The Euro-Yen Cross (135.27) has however been consolidating between 135.00 and 135.75 over the last few days. |
| Daily Technical Analysis
October 20, 2009 at 4:39 pm
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| | The EURUSD made another correction yesterday. The pair attempted to push higher, topped at 1.4993 but whipsawed to the downside, bottomed at 1.4881 and closed at 1.4936. On h4 chart below we can see that this was a case of a false breakout, which potentially produce significant downside correction. 1.4850... |
| FX Technical Commentary
October 20, 2009 at 3:49 pm
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| | Euro 1.4940 Initial support at 1.4829 (Oct 19 low) followed by 1.4762 (Oct 13 low). Initial resistance is now located at 1.5000 (Psychological Round Number) followed by 1.5083 (Psychological Level) | | | 
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| (BOC) Bank of Canada Maintains Overnight Rate Target at 1/4 Per cent
October 20, 2009 at 3:04 am
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| | The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1/4 per cent. The Bank Rate is unchanged at 1/2 per cent and the deposit rate is 1/4 per cent. Recent indicators point to the start of a global recovery from a deep,... | | |  |
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| What Is Gold Telling Us?
October 20, 2009 at 5:31 am
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| | Gold prices have surged in recent months, which some observers claim is a clear warning that inflation will soon turn sharply higher as it did in the late 1970s. However, other forward-looking market-based inflation indicators do not support this hypothesis. Inflation indicators such as bond yields, consumer expectations and TIPS... | | |  |
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| USD/CHF Tests 1.0165 Resistance Level
October 20, 2009 at 7:32 am
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| | After surging above the 100 ema on the 15 minute chart, the USD/CHF has run in to significant resistance from the 1.0165 price level. This level has previously been tested 3 times and has exhibited a healthy amount of support and resistance. Despite the recent surge, the overall trend... |
| Chart Of The Day: EUR/USD
October 20, 2009 at 4:45 am
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| | Price action on EUR/USD, a daily chart of which is shown, has just reached a new 14-month high, and has stalled around yet another resistance level (just under the 1.5000 price region), within the context of a strong continuing uptrend. This uptrend is framed by a clear parallel uptrend channel... |
| USD/JPY Bounces after Retesting 90
October 20, 2009 at 4:38 am
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| | The USD/JPY is bouncing after touching the psychological 90 level and what is now our 2nd tier uptrend line. The USD/JPY has been under selling pressure since topping at our 1st tier downtrend line. The BoJ's minutes revealed the central bank is encouraged by recent performance of the Japanese economy,... |
| GBP/USD Rides Higher Following Impressive Earnings
October 20, 2009 at 4:37 am
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| | The Cable is climbing towards our important 3rd tier downtrend line and the psychological 1.65 level after earnings from U.S. bellweathers surpassed analyst expectations. The combination of impressive earnings and recent positive GBP data has given investors enough incentive to continue the Cable's amazing run. The currency pair is now... |
| EUR/USD Consolidates after Taking another Swing at 1.50
October 20, 2009 at 4:36 am
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| | The EUR/USD has failed to top 1.50 once again and the level is having as much psychological influence as we anticipated. 1.50 separates the EUR/USD from consolidation and exciting near-term gains. The currency pair has toppled the rest of our foreseeable near-term obstacles, leaving 1.50 as the final test for... |
| GBPUSD: Challenges Channel Resistance
October 20, 2009 at 3:45 am
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| | GBP was seen attacking its strong resistance at 1.6431 where its channel resistance is located in early trading today. While that level is now vulnerable, a convincing break of there must be seen to put another key resistance standing at its Sept 23'09 high at 1.6463 under pressure. We envisage... |
| USDJPY: Weakness Puts The 90.44 Level Under Pressure
October 20, 2009 at 3:44 am
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| | A second day of weakness is now in progress and was seen attacking its key support standing at the 90.44 level, its Oct 12'09 high today. If that level gives in we should expect declines towards the 88.82 level where its Oct 14'09 low is located with a break below... |
| U.S. $ Index: Ending Diagonal Pattern
October 20, 2009 at 2:56 am
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| | The U.S. dollar has reached new lows recently against the majors, driven by a higher stock and commodity market, especially oil which has touched the 80.00 area over the past few sessions. Eur/Usd is currently trading very close to the 1.5000 area, from where traders may see some reversal movements,... |
| FX Thoughts for the Day
October 20, 2009 at 2:28 am
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| | Cable continues to test the Resistance zone. Till this Resistance zone of 1.6435-60 holds, it can bring the pair down towards 1.6200 but a break of this Resistance is likely to make Cable very bullish. Else a break is likely to next target 1.66 over the next few days. Earlier,... |
| Technical Analysis Daily: USD/JPY
October 20, 2009 at 12:14 am
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| | On Monday Dollar/Yen made a significant descending movement from. The currency couple decreased from the 91.13 top down to 90.39, closing the day at 90.52. Immediate resistance is yesterday's top at 91.15, the penetration of which may shake again the downward channel and strengthen the Dollar further towards next target... |
| Currency Technical Report
October 20, 2009 at 12:11 am
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| | Euro moved to new tops yesterday after the break of previous tops at 1,4950-70. The pair reached 1.5000 area but sellers made their appearance, leading to a small retracement. The area of 1,5000 is an important resistance and psychological level and is should not be breached easily… |
| Forex Technical Analysis
October 19, 2009 at 11:47 pm
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| | EUR/USD is in a broad consolidation, after bottoming at 1.2331 (Oct.28,2008). Technical indicators are neutral, and trading is situated above the 50- and 200-Day SMA, currently projected at 1.4134 and 1.3523. |
| Daily FX Report
October 19, 2009 at 11:38 pm
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| | Since the beginning of October, the currency pair has been trading in a bullish trend channel. Recently, the AUD crossed its resistance at 84.10. One time before, the resistance was strong enough, but this time it seems as if the AUD could let its resistance behind him and continuing its... |
| Technical Analysis Daily: GBP/USD
October 19, 2009 at 10:04 pm
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| | On Monday Pound/Dollar descended down to the 1.6251 bottom, from where the cable started climbing up to 1.6436, closing the day at 1.6417. This morning ascending continued to the key 1.6445 resistance, which limited the climbing for now, and we see currently deep correctional bounce. If the above resistance is... |
| Technical Analysis for Major Currencies
October 19, 2009 at 10:01 pm
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| | The Euro versus Dollar pair inclined yesterday to breach the pivot resistance at 1.4970 supporting the expected uptrend. The Stochastic indicator is providing bearish signs, which may pressure the pair to decline. Yet, we expect a general incline on the intraday basis targeting 1.5100 as far as 1.4845 is intact. |
| Technical Analysis for Crosses
October 19, 2009 at 9:58 pm
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| | As we discussed yesterday, the Fibonacci level of 261.8% proved its strength, claiming that the allover bearish harmonic AB=CD pattern is in progress. The candlesticks bearish formation alongside the bearish signs that are appearing on OsMA, RSI 14 and AROON helps us keep our intraday overview to the downside. A... |
| Greenback Inactivity Helps Euro Rise In Style
October 19, 2009 at 9:42 pm
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| | The euro climbed toward $1.50 on optimism the global economic recovery is gathering momentum. The euro rallied to the strongest level since August 2008 against the dollar before reports this week that economists said will show the U.S. housing market and German business confidence improved, boosting demand higher-yielding assets. |
| Forex Technical Update
October 19, 2009 at 9:29 pm
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| | Euro maintains bullish bias after the dollar bearish statement from Fed . It is facing stiff resistance at 1.50 levels which would act as a stiff resistance in the days to come.(EurUsd-1.4972)Slight Bullish |
| Forex Technical Analytics
October 19, 2009 at 9:14 pm
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| | Short positions opened and saved before had positive result in the achievement of main estimated targets. OsMA trend indicator having marked in the general outlook bearish development priority is still supporting sales planning priority for today. On the assumption of it as well as considering sign of rate oversold we... |
| Currency Pair Daily Forecasts
October 19, 2009 at 8:57 pm
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| | EUR/USD-market strategy can be a buy from the level 1.4905$ To strengthen our analysis; we use many other indicators, starting with MACD (Moving Averages convergence divergence); we notice the MACD lines in a bullish direction and crossing above the zero line. In order to find the power of the market,... |
| FX Technical Analysis
October 19, 2009 at 8:39 pm
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| | EURUSD Comment: Rallying to a new high for this year at 1.4994 even sooner than we had hoped after closing at this year's high yesterday. The Euro is only slightly overbought and the 9-day moving average gave it another leg up yesterday. While most elements suggest a break above the... |
| Daily Technical Outlook
October 19, 2009 at 7:42 pm
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| | The euro rose to a fresh high at 1.4993 - a few points below the 1.5 barrier. Current pullback is modest and a re-test of the 1.5000 within the coming sessions is likely. If dollar's weakness will extend past 1.5000, next upside barriers will come into play at 1.5050/70 and... |
| Technical Analysis Daily: EUR/USD
October 19, 2009 at 7:30 pm
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| | On Monday Euro/Dollar descended to the 1.4836, from where started rising up to 1.4979, closing the day at 1.4963. Of the 1 hour chart the currency couple has climbed from 1.4514 to 1.4989, forming clear upward channel. But while long range outlook seems to be under the bulls control, in... |
| Foreign Exchange Market Commentary
October 19, 2009 at 7:09 pm
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| | EUR/USD closed higher on Monday due to short covering. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signalling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If it extends this today's rally, the reaction high crossing is the... |
| The Daily Forecaster: USDCHF
October 19, 2009 at 6:19 pm
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| | The underlying MT direction is neutral while the daily bias is bearish. Caution is advised but there is a mild preference for losses within a consolidation. However, be aware of the risk of choppy price action that could hit stops. Therefore take note of both daily & MT S&R and... |
| Market Morning Briefing
October 19, 2009 at 5:35 pm
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| | Another field day for the non-Dollar currencies as Dollar-revulsion continues to rule. The Aussie (0.9290) and the Euro (1.4980) are trading at their highest levels in the last 12 months and have room to rise further. Dollar-Swiss (1.0104) too is likely to inch closer to 'Parity' with the Dollar in... |
| Daily Technical Analysis
October 19, 2009 at 5:24 pm
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| | The EURUSD slipped above the range are of 1.4850 - 1.4950 yesterday, topped at 1.4980. The bias is bullish in nearest term targeting 1.5080 and 1.5140 but we need a consistent move above 1.4950 to confirm the bullish scenario. Like I said yesterday, the market has been quite volatile lately... | | | 
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| FX Technical Commentary
October 19, 2009 at 4:25 pm
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| | Euro 1.4940 Initial support at 1.4839 (Oct 14 low) followed by 1.4674 (Oct 9 low). Initial resistance is now located at 1.4980 (Aug 13 high) followed by 1.5000 (Psychological Level) |
| The Gold/S&P/Euro Trifecta
October 19, 2009 at 8:35 am
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| | The Elliott wave team at TheLFB monitors thirty sets of global market charts that are updated each day for member review, that cover the major forex pairs, as well as the dollar index, S&P futures, oil, and gold. The technical wave structure on gold is holding above 1043 support, which... |
| USD/JPY Forms Inverted Head & Shoulders
October 19, 2009 at 3:59 am
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| | The USD/JPY has just completed an inverted Head & Shoulders pattern on the daily chart. Unlike its cousin, the Head & Shoulders, this pattern indicates a bullish signal for the pair. With this pattern a forex trader would typically look to enter after a strong breach of the neckline around... |
| Euro Elliott Wave 4 Hour and Daily Review
October 19, 2009 at 1:59 am
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| | Eur/Usd is still trading near to the yearly highs, albeit with a very slow price action that has the personality of a correction move. As such, traders should look for a further move higher in the current red wave III (shown below), that is a sub-wave of a larger wave... |
| EURJPY: Set To Breakout Of Its Symmetrical Triangle
October 19, 2009 at 1:54 am
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| | Having maintained a third week of upside gains following its failure below its triangle bottom at 130.24 and subsequent recovery higher, the cross now looks to build on those gains with eyes on the breakout of the mentioned symmetrical triangle. If this is seen, scope for further higher prices will... |
| GBPUSD: Hesitation To Price Digestion
October 19, 2009 at 1:53 am
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| | Weakness in early trading today following the pair's marginal close on Friday remains suggestive of price exhaustion after GBP's run off the 1.5706 level to a high of 1.6399 the past week. However, the nearer term price run to the upside remains valid while its Sept 30'09 high at 1.6124... |
| FX Thoughts for the Day
October 19, 2009 at 1:33 am
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| | Cable GBP-USD @ 1.6291/95...Watch Resistance 1.6420-50. Cable has bounced back after recording a low of 1.6240. The Resistance at 1.6420-50 is the region to be watched closely. A break of this can be very bullish for the pair. Our Short at 1.6301 has been exited at 1.6290 bagging 11 pips. |
| Currency Technical Report
October 19, 2009 at 1:05 am
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| | The area of 1,4950-00 could not be breached easily, as expected, but retracements remained weak in terms of the uptrend. Buy opportunities emerged during retracements and today euro is testing again 1,4950-70 area as resistance. |
| Forex Technical Analysis
October 18, 2009 at 11:31 pm
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| | EUR/USD is in a broad consolidation, after bottoming at 1.2331 (Oct.28,2008). Technical indicators are neutral, and trading is situated above the 50- and 200-Day SMA, currently projected at 1.4134 and 1.3523. |
| Forex Technical Analytics
October 18, 2009 at 9:00 pm
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| | The estimated test of key resistance range levels has been confirmed and the achievement of estimated targets is supported by the tendency of rate overbought strengthening marked by OsMA trend indicator. Therefore, as for opened sales, as it was before the targets will be 1,0120/40, 1,0080/1,0100 and (or) further break-out... |
| FX Technical Analysis
October 18, 2009 at 8:46 pm
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| | EURUSD Comment: Consolidating neatly under 1.4968, which was also an interim high in November 2007. The Euro is not so overbought and is clinging to the 9-day moving average - which has done an excellent job limiting intra-day lows this month. Expect a little more consolidation prior to another break... |
| Daily Technical Outlook
October 18, 2009 at 8:26 pm
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| | The support zone around 1.4840 has provided a stable reversal point so far and the upward channel formed on the 4-hrs chart, as seen below, is intact – the lower band providing support on last pullback. However, intra-day momentum is quite weak and a break above 1.4920/30 is needed to... |
| Technical Analysis for Major Currencies
October 18, 2009 at 8:21 pm
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| | The Euro versus Dollar pair attempted to breach the pivot support at 1.4850, yet failed to do so due to the positive pressure seen from the stochastic indicator. We still see the pair in need for a downside correction towards 1.4745 before rebounding back to the upside on the intraday... |
| Technical Analysis for Crosses
October 18, 2009 at 8:16 pm
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| | The GBP/JPY pair is still preparing for a downside correctional movement as we discussed in our Friday's report. The obvious negative candlestick formation around the extended wave of the bearish harmonic pattern proves that the intraday outlook is to the downside, supported by OsMA, RSI 14 and AROON bearish signs.... |
| Forex and Dow Jones Recommended Levels
October 18, 2009 at 7:52 pm
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| | EUR/USD Today's support: - 1.4855 and 1.4816(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.4802, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.4779. Break of the latter would result in 1.4753. If a strong impulse, we would see 1.4736. Continuation will give 1.4704. |
| Daily Technical Analysis
October 18, 2009 at 6:27 pm
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| | The EURUSD made a significant technical movement early today in Asian session, break below my key support level 1.4850. Technically, this fact open a way for a further bearish correction at least re-testing 1.4720 in nearest term, but correction is just a correction and short position is not recommended at... |
| Foreign Exchange Market Commentary
October 18, 2009 at 6:21 pm
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| | EUR/USD closed lower due to profit taking on Friday as it consolidated some of this week's rally. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signalling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If... |
| The Daily Forecaster: USDJPY
October 18, 2009 at 6:16 pm
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| | There was no pullback on Friday but the rally didn't quite reach my resistance target either. I suspect therefore that we could see the pullback lower in the first half of the day with 90.07-37 that area to look for a buying opportunity. Only a direct break above the 91.31... |
| Usd/Jpy Resistance At 91.50
October 18, 2009 at 4:14 pm
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| | Yen prices have traded up over the last few sessions into our wave C target area, shown around the 91.10 -91.50 zone, after the break of the 90.43 top. If the market is forming a corrective structure of a blue wave B) then this retrace from 88.00 support zone to... |
| FX Technical Commentary
October 18, 2009 at 3:30 pm
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| | Euro 1.4850 Initial support at 1.4839 (Oct 14 low) followed by 1.4674 (Oct 9 low). Initial resistance is now located at 1.4980 (Aug 13 high) followed by 1.5000 (Psychological Level) | | | 
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| Cad and Crude Oil Review
October 18, 2009 at 5:01 am
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| | The speculative interest in oil has increased over the course of the last five days of trade, inspired it seems by bullish nature of global equity trade at the beginning of the week. Lower than expected U.S. oil inventory numbers also helped to empower the bullish nature of the moves.... | | |  |
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